Saturday, January 9, 2010
Football strategy
As I am starting this post, it is 4:09 PM Central Standard Time to track this statement. I will make a follow up to confirm or deny my theory. My theory has to do with NFL football and first round playoff wins due to intentional coaching influence on a team. For some reason this year, three of four first round playoffs had the same teams play each other one week before in the last game of the regular season. The games are:
Philadelphia Eagles - Dallas Cowboys
Cincinnati Bengals - New York Jets
Green Bay Packers - Arizona Cardinals
What is of interest last week is the teams that had nothing significant to gain lost. Accordingly, teams that had something significant to gain won. The Cowboys, Jets and Packers won. If two teams did not win, they were going to either be eliminated from playoff contention (Jets) or lose home field advantage in the first round (Cowboys). The Cowboys also had to save face after the brutal loss last year during the last game of the year ('08 season) to the Eagles, 44-6. The Packers had nothing to gain or lose in their victory.
It was no accident the prior week's outcomes happened. What makes it even more so suspicious is the lopsided manner the winning teams achieved their victories with the following scores:
24-0
33-7
0-37
It has to do with coaching strategy and the advantage these teams will gain in the first round playoffs contributed to these extreme scores. The playoffs advantage far outweighed the one win in the team's regular season's record. I predict that the following teams will win in the first round of playoffs: Eagles, Bengals and Cardinals. What is being tested is the effect of coaching and player psychology in a team's success. I will further extrapolate in the next post.
To put forth my bias, I am a Cowboys fan living in Texas. I deeply hope that my theory is faulty and that the Cowboys beat the snot out of the Eagles. Go Cowboys!
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